Total Australian Credit


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Total Australian Credit outstanding includes all debt and equity outstanding of the domestic non-financial sectors.

Total Australian Credit has grown from AU$787.7 billion in December 1989 to AU$6.3 trillion in December 2016; an increase of a little over 800% over a 27 year period.

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September rate cut not completely out of question


While it is highly unlikely, the RBA could further cut interest rates today when they meet for their decision on monetary policy for the month. In light of the 25 basic point cut last month, the AUD/USD actually increased by almost 1 cent when averaged over the month of August to July. This being counter logical to the outcome of a 20% reduction in the interest rate differential between Australian and the United States in a pre GFC world. Theoretically, lower AUD would increase import prices and decrease export prices, resulting in higher inflation, lower unemployment and higher economic growth. If the RBA are resolute to increase inflation to their targeted 2-3% range, and increase employment and economic growth, a .25% rate cut could be on the table at 2:30PM today. However, given the ASX 30 Day Interbank Cash Rate Futures is indicating only a 5% expectation of a decrease in the cash rate to 1.25%, this would be a black swan for market expectations.

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